Economic Growth ‘Moderate’ in New Fed Report, But Some Fed Banks Worried Over a Recession

WASHINGTON—Economic growth was moderate during April, according to the latest Beige Book from the Federal Reserve, but three of the Fed’s district banks expressed concerns about an upcoming recession.

The Beige Book found retailers reported some softening as consumers faced higher prices, while residential real estate sources reported weakness as buyers faced high prices and rising interest rates. In addition, employers cited labor market difficulties as their greatest challenge, followed by supply chain disruptions.

“The latest Beige Book reflects softening conditions, but consumers continue to buoy the economy for the time being,” said NAFCU Chief Economist and Vice President of Research Curt Long.

Additional Findings

Long noted other insights from the latest Beige Book:

Eight Districts reported that expectations of future growth among their contacts had diminished
Worker shortages continued to force many firms to operate below capacity – and in response, firms continued to deploy automation, offer greater job flexibility, and raise wages
Most Districts noted that their contacts had reported strong or robust price increases – especially for input prices.

The latest Beige Book report was based on information collected on or before May 23.

Comments

Why Decision Intelligence Will be What Really Defines the Future of Credit Union Growth

By Alisha Crafton For years, credit union marketing has been built around a familiar formula: understand your members, segment your audiences, develop targeted campaigns, and deliver the right message through the right channel to the right audience. Although that approach still matters, it is relationships that serve as the foundation of the credit union model. The challenge for every credit union is that member expectations, competitive pressures, and technological capabilities are changing rapidly. Members increasingly expect financial institutions to understand their needs, anticipate life events, and provide relevant guidance at the right moment. Meeting those expectations requires more than better campaigns. It requires better decision-making. The future of credit union growth will not be defined by who can create more content, launch more campaigns, or automate more emails. It will be defined by which institutions can interpret information more effectively, identify opportun...

Read Complete Article HERE>»

Report Probes Just How Sophisticated and Pervasive Fraud Has Become

BOSTON–Fraud threats facing credit unions are becoming more sophisticated and pervasive as digital banking expands and artificial intelligence tools enable increasingly complex attacks, according to new research and analysis from PYMNTS Intelligence . The report said fraud has evolved from isolated incidents into a “persistent, systemwide threat” that affects every stage of the member journey, from onboarding and authentication to transactions and account servicing. According to the report, fraudsters are increasingly using coordinated, multichannel schemes that challenge traditional fraud detection and response systems. PYMNTS Intelligence said attackers are no longer exploiting single vulnerabilities but are instead orchestrating broader campaigns involving impersonation, credential theft and unauthorized transfers. The Findings Among the report’s findings, according to PYMNTS: One in 10 consumers encountered card fraud during the past year. Most fraud incidents occu...

Read Complete Article HERE>»

NCUA Board Nominee John Crews Moves to Full Senate

WASHINGTON–By a voice vote, the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee has advanced to the Senate floor the nomination of John Crews to become the next chairman of NCUA. John Crews “Credit unions thank Chairman Scott and the members of the Senate Banking Committee for advancing John Crews nomination to the NCUA Board,” America’s Credit Unions Chief Advocacy Officer Kathleen Coulombe said in a statement. “We appreciate that the Committee recognizes a robust credit union industry requires a fully staffed NCUA Board and John Crews possesses the necessary experience and knowledge to efficiently lead the NCUA. We urge the Senate to quickly vote to confirm his nomination.” About John Crews Crews is the assistant secretary for financial institutions policy in the Treasury department. Crews was appointed to the position in mid-2025 and has a long history in Washington. Prior to joining the Treasury Department, he served as a policy advisor to Majority Leader Rep. Steve Scal...

Read Complete Article HERE>»

2026 Volunteer of the Year Award

www.ncofcu.org/voy ================================================= Remember, you're not alone with NCOFCU.org Join/Upgrade Check out some of NCOFCU's additional features: Advocacy Annual Conference First Responder Credit Union Academy Financial Literacy Podcasts YouTube Mini's

Read Complete Article HERE>»

Unemployment 101

Unemployment 101 For millions of Americans , the prospect of becoming unemployed is a persistent source of financial anxiety. The US unemployment rate, or the percentage of people in the labor force who are actively looking for work but aren't currently employed, has long been considered an economic bellwether. Many economists agree that a rate between 4% and 5% is considered healthy. As of June 2026, the US unemployment rate was 4.2%. > Learn how the unemployment rate is calculated. ( More ) > The US Bureau of Labor Statistics' monthly jobs report tracks the unemployment rate and more. ( More ) Americans who are unemployed for up to 26 weeks ...

Read Complete Article HERE>»

Coffee Consumption Guidance

Most adults can safely drink up to five 8-ounce cups of black coffee per day, and regular consumption may improve cardiovascular health, the American Heart Association said yesterday. An analysis of recent studies suggests that consuming about 400 milligrams of caffeine daily may lower the risk of Type 2 diabetes, stroke, heart disease, and heart failure. However, because most research is observational, scientists are still unsure why caffeine may benefit heart health. Some studies suggest antioxidants in coffee help reduce inflammation, indicating not all caffeine sources offer the same effects. Synthetic caffeine products, such as energy drinks, have been linked to a higher risk of high blood pressure and irregular heart rhythms. Coffee's benefits also diminish when sugar and high-fat creamers are added. Brewing methods may matter, too. Cardiovascular benefits have been linked most strongly to paper-filtered or instant coffee. Unfilter...

Read Complete Article HERE>»

More Consumers Turning to Digital Wallets to Manage Finances

BOSTON — Consumers facing financial pressure are increasingly turning to digital wallets not only for convenience, but also as a way to better manage their household finances, according to a new report from PYMNTS Intelligence . The report, titled “ The New Checkout: Crimped Consumers Lean Into Online Retail and Digital Wallets, ” is based on a survey of 2,108 U.S. adults and found digital wallet adoption is growing fastest among younger consumers and those experiencing financial stress. According to PYMNTS Intelligence, digital wallets are evolving beyond simple payment tools by offering features such as buy now, pay later options, real-time balance information and spending management tools that help consumers monitor their finances. Source: PYMNTS Intelligence Among consumers experiencing high financial stress, 28% said they used a digital wallet for their most recent retail purchase, compared with 11% of consumers reporting low financial stress. For grocery purchases, 21% of financi...

Read Complete Article HERE>»

Sunday Reading - The Fab Four (Beatles)

The Fab Four The Beatles were a 20th-century British band credited with innovating the sound of popular music and, in the process, helping to legitimize rock 'n' roll as an art form. > How the Beatles became the most influential band on Earth. ( More , w/podcast) > Explore Abbey Road Studios, the site of the first ever stereo recordings and home to most of the Beatles' songs. ( More ) The intense fandom for the band, called Beatlemania, began in the United Kingdom in 1963 but did not initially translate into success in the United States. In fact, the band's American label rejected the band's first two singles. Eventually, the band gained tra...

Read Complete Article HERE>»

Without President’s Signature, ROAD to Housing Act Becomes Law; Includes CU Board Modernization Act

WASHINGTON — The bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act became law Friday without President Donald Trump’s signature after the president allowed the measure to take effect while Congress remained in session, choosing not to sign it in protest over the Senate’s failure to advance separate voter identification legislation. The legislation includes the Credit Union Board Modernization Act, which reduces the frequency with which credit unions must meet and which had strong support from the credit union trade groups. Trump announced on social media that he would not sign the housing package because the Senate had not passed the SAVE America Act, a measure he has championed requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration. Under the Constitution, a bill becomes law if the president neither signs nor vetoes it within 10 days, excluding Sundays, while Congress is in session. Scott Simpson ‘Steadfast in Commitment’ “America’s Credit Unions, our league partners, and cr...

Read Complete Article HERE>»

Half of Credit Union & Bank CEOs are Now Older Than 65, Up From 20% Two Decades

NEW YORK — At a time when there are some generational changes in credit union leadership taking place, a new analysis has found the nation’s bank CEOs are getting older, with half of the chief executives leading banks now older than 65, compared with fewer than 20% two decades ago. The KBW Bank Index from Truist Securities found that the median age of bank CEOs has increased by 10 years since the early 2000s, mirroring a broader aging trend among corporate leaders across the United States. However, bank executives remain older on average than their counterparts in many other industries, according to the analysis by Truist Securities Managing Director John McDonald and associates Peter Nicolo and John Manahan. One reason is tenure. Bank CEOs typically remain in their positions longer than executives in many other sectors. According to data from CristKolder Associates cited in the report, financial-services CEOs average nine years in the role, compared with 5.4 years in the energy secto...

Read Complete Article HERE>»

First-responder Credit Union Newsroom

Search This Blog