NEW YORK–What else should credit unions potentially brace for in 2021? According to one Wall Street forecaster, a comeback for inflation and an increase in mortgage rates.
Jim Bianco, the president of Blanco Research, said the catalyst for inflation in the new year could be the hundreds of billions of dollars in federal coronavirus aid being distributed as well as vaccines that will begin normalizing the economy.
"Once you get all of that into the pipeline, you could have a burst of economic activity that could produce higher inflation for the first time in a generation," Blanco told CNBC's Trading Nation. "That's the big worry I have for 2021."
The overwhelming factor preventing inflation from showing up today is the struggling economy, according to Bianco. But he told CNBC the situation is temporary, predicting the demand picture will pick up in 2021 as consumers take advantage of additional stimulus amid an improving jobs market.
Fewer Things to Buy
"You and I and everybody else will have less things to buy with a dollar in a year than we do now, and that will crimp earnings," Bianco said. "That will make mortgage rates go up. That will make borrowing costs go up."
Bianco's expectation is inflation would run a half percentage point above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%.
"That doesn't sound like a lot, but that would still be about a 28-year high — 2.5% core inflation and something that virtually no one has seen," he told CNBC. "We haven't seen inflation in a generation, so a lot of people forgot what it looked like."
“Celebrating 25 Years of Service: Unite, Ignite, and Empower” “We train and support volunteer leaders of credit unions serving first responders to run stronger, more effective institutions.” “Great things happen when credit unions serving first responders come together. Our face-to-face and on-line interaction is the platform where collaboration begins, and GREAT ideas are generated.”
Monday, January 4, 2021
Brace for a comeback in inflation and an increase in mortgage rates.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
New IRS Auto Loan Reporting Rule Creates Major Compliance Challenge for Credit Unions
Credit unions that make auto loans need to begin preparing now for a significant new IRS reporting requirement that could create an especial...
-
Credit unions that make auto loans need to begin preparing now for a significant new IRS reporting requirement that could create an especial...
-
ALEXANDRIA, Va. (September 23, 2026) – The National Credit Union Administration today released the September 2026 updat...
-
Twist and Shout Rock 'n' roll is a form of popular music that originated in the American ...
-
Warren Buffett Steps Down Billionaire investor Warren Buffett stepped down as chairman of Berkshire Hatha...
-
Fed Hikes Rates The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since 2023 yesterday, announc...
-
Ivory Tower IOUs More than 40% of US adults who pursued education beyond high school have ...
-
Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. Since earlier in the year, labor market conditions...
-
Robot Race Returns As we here in the US are worried about Data Centers, a Chinese-made robot defeated Jamaican athle...
No comments:
Post a Comment
Please no profanity or political comments.
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.