Skip to main content

Fed Minutes Indicate Rate Increases Now on Hold; Cut Could Come in 2024

WASHINGTON–While Federal Reserve officials indicated they remain open to the possibility of again raising rates, minutes released from the Fed’s October meeting show they are more likely to keep rates steady--and one credit union economist sees potential for a rate cut in 2024.

“All participants agreed that the committee was in a position to proceed carefully,” said the minutes of the Oct. 31-Nov. 1 meeting state. “Participants expected that the data arriving in coming months would help clarify the extent to which” a slowdown in inflation was continuing amid higher borrowing costs, according to the minutes. 

The Fed’s Open Market Committee is set to meet again on Dec. 12-13, but few expect any rate increase to be considered. 

"The minutes from the October FOMC meeting reaffirm that the committee believes monetary policy is currently restrictive,” said NAFCU VP-Research Curt Long. “Given the significant moderation in inflation in 2023, NAFCU believes the FOMC is done raising rates in this cycle and will proceed with the first rate cut in the first half of 2024." 

Federal Reserve

Other Risks 

The minutes indicate the Fed sees risks in raising rates too much, even as inflation appears to be moderately cooling.

The Fed last raised rates in July, when they increased the benchmark federal-funds rate in July to a range between 5.25% and 5.5%, a 22-year high. That’s up from near zero in March of 2022 when the Fed began raising rates. 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

NCOFCU Newsletter

The Bucket Coach is a financial advice book designed by Fire Services Credit Union, Tronto, Canada. and written exclusively for Fire Fighters It's a practical guide for household financial management, including investments, credit and mortgages, and retirement. Developed with contributions from Fire Fighters," NCOFCU Newsletter : " Kevin Connolly Chief Executive Officer    Fire Services Credit Union Phone: 416-440-1294 ext 301  Toll Free: 1-866-833-3285 E-mail:  kevin@firecreditunion.ca 1997 Avenue Rd Toronto, ON M5M 4A3 

Vought: ‘We’re Closing Down The CFPB’ — White House Budget Chief Says Agency Will Shut Down Within Months

  10/16/2025 09:03 am         WASHINGTON—White House Budget Director Russell Vought said Wednesday he plans to shut down the CFPB, PYMNTS reported. Russell Vought Speaking on  The Charlie Kirk Show , Vought said only a handful of employees remain at the CFPB’s Washington headquarters “while we close down the agency,” adding that he expects the process to be completed “within the next two or three months.” Vought’s remarks come amid a series of legal challenges targeting the Administration’s attempts to scale back or dismantle the CFPB. The Administration is currently facing lawsuits from a CFPB labor union and consumer advocacy groups, which argue that Trump lacks the authority to dismiss most of the Bureau’s staff or eliminate the agency altogether. On Wednesday, Vought repeated long-standing Republican criticisms that the CFPB has exceeded its authority and imposed unfair burdens on smaller financial institutions, PYMNTS noted. “All they want to do is wea...

AI Meets Retail: Walmart Lets Shoppers Buy Directly Through ChatGPT Using Sparky Instant Checkout

  10/15/2025 07:10 pm         BENTONVILLE, Ark.— Walmart is teaming up with OpenAI to introduce Sparky AI-driven shopping experiences that let customers and Sam’s Club members complete purchases directly through ChatGPT using its new Instant Checkout feature, PYMNTS reported. The collaboration broadens Walmart’s use of artificial intelligence across its retail ecosystem and underscores a wider industry move toward conversational, predictive commerce. Through the integration, shoppers can plan meals, restock household essentials, or discover new products simply by chatting with ChatGPT—while Walmart manages the entire transaction process seamlessly in the background, PYMNTS explained. “For many years now, eCommerce shopping experiences have consisted of a search bar and a long list of item responses,” Doug McMillon, president and CEO of Walmart Inc., stated in the PYMNTS report. “That is about to change. There is a native AI experience coming that is multi-media...

Understanding the Fed’s Balance Sheet

Chair Jerome H. Powell Monetary policy is more effective when the public understands what the Federal Reserve does and why. With that in mind, I hope to enhance understanding of one of the more arcane and technical aspects of monetary policy: the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. A colleague recently compared this topic to a trip to the dentist, but that comparison may be unfair—to dentists. 1 Today, I will discuss the essential role our balance sheet played during the pandemic, along with some lessons learned. I will then review our ample reserves implementation framework and the progress we have made toward normalizing the size of our balance sheet. I will conclude with some brief remarks on the economic outlook. Background on the Fed's Balance Sheet One of the primary purposes of a central bank is to provide the monetary foundation for the financial system and the broader economy. This foundation is made of central bank liabilities. On the Fed's balance sheet, the liabili...

For Banks and Credit Unions, AI Can Be Risky. But What’s Riskier? Falling Behind.

By Nicole Volpe,  Contributor at The Financial Brand For many bank and credit union leaders, Generative AI is mostly generating… anxiety. On one side is the fear of getting it wrong: exposing sensitive data, triggering a compliance breakdown, or wasting money on experiments that never scale. On the other looms something even more stress-inducing: watching competitors that have mastered AI serve their customers faster, cheaper, and with more personalization, while gaining market share in the process. Small and mid-sized financial institutions have long worked to offset competitive disadvantages versus larger and more-digital competitors, but AI threatens to widen the gap. Global and national players have the budgets and talent to embed AI deeply within their operations. Fintechs can pivot quickly and launch new digital experiences with fewer legacy constraints. Meanwhile, a majority of banks and credit unions sit in between — too small to match the giants’ scale, yet too complex and...