Steven Rick, chief economist for CUNA Mutual Group, drop in long-term interest rates has, in turn, pushed down interest rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages.
CUNA Mutual Group’s latest report said lower interest rates are being driven by the market’s expectations that Americans will take longer to reach herd immunity from COVID-19 than previously expected. In February, CUNA and CUNA Mutual Group forecast the 10-year Treasury rate would rise from 0.90% in 2020’s fourth quarter to reach 1.50% by this year’s fourth quarter. Its April forecast raised the estimate to 2% by this year’s fourth quarter. Its June forecast showed no change. CUNA Mutual Group’s Credit Union Trends Report released Tuesday said long-term interest rates have been falling since March 31 when the 10-year Treasury interest rate hit 1.74%. It recently fell below 1.2% — down more than 50 basis points in three months. Steven Rick, chief economist for CUNA Mutual Group and the report’s author, wrote that the drop in long-term interest rates has, in turn, pushed down interest rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages. Freddie Mac showed the 30-year fixed rate started the yea...