Skip to main content

Can Small CUs Survive the 4rth Industrial Revolution?

By Homer Fager

The Third Industrial Revolution period of the 1950s through 1990s witnessed the beginning of the decline of the small credit unions. In the 1960s the number of credit unions, including state and federal institutions, exceeded 20,000. The 1980s brought new technology to the industry from personal computers to the introduction of the first credit union-sponsored ATM. During the next three decades 10,000 credit unions were lost and in the last decade alone 2,000 have vanished.

Continuation of this rate of decline means the “small entity” credit unions may be lost within the next 15 to 20 years.

These Third Industrial Revolution banking structural changes were the beginning of the decline of the “small entity”credit union.

The Fourth Industrial Revolution, also referred to as 4IR or Industry 4.0, has changed the 21st century and will continue to change our society as did none of the other three revolutions. More has been accomplished in the last 250-plus years of human history than during the previous 2,500 years.

According to The World Economic Forum the first three periods included mechanical equipment, electricity/mass production, and electronics/automated production, respectively. The fourth revolution is assumed to have began after the 1990s but before 2013, the year Klaus Schwad first published his book, “The Fourth Industrial Revolution.”

Now, 5G (fifth generation technology of broadband cellular networks) and COVID-19 have advanced the application of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, with “cyber-physical systems” blurring the lines between the physical, digital, and biological worlds of influence. Per Klaus Schwab, “87% of young people in the U.S. say their smart phone never leaves their side and 44% use their camera function daily.”

He further noted how “now the world requires companies to respond in real time wherever they are or their customers or clients.”

The Millennial generation, also known as the “now gen” desires to conduct retail activities in real time, from their purchasing of goods to their retail banking P2P relations. The traditional banking industry faces serious threats from emerging digital modes to accessing banking services to being irrelevant at every stage of 4IR massive technology disruptions.

What Must Be Understood

Continue reading

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

NCUA Board Approves 11 Final Rules for Deregulation Project

Alexandria, VA (August 5, 2026) ― The National Credit Union Administration (NCUA) today finalized eleven rules that were proposed for changes through the Deregulation Project. This is the first round of final rules from the ongoing Deregulation Project which is an initiative to review NCUA’s regulations and ensure they are focused on credit unions’ safety, soundness, and resilience. The final rules include: This is an external link to a website belonging to another federal agency, private organization, or commercial entity. Surety and Guarantor Requirements – 12 CFR 701.20(c)(3) and 701.20(d) (Opens new window) This is an external link to a website belonging to another federal agency, private organization, or commercial entity. Limits on Loan to Other Credit Unions – 12 CFR 701.25(b) (Opens new window) This is an external link to a website belonging to another federal agency, private organization, or commercial entity. Service to Underserved Areas – IRPS 08-2 (Opens new window) This is...

Making the Most of the Final Five Years Before Retirement

  NATIONAL COUNCIL OF FIRST RESPONDER CREDIT UNIONS RETIREMENT READINESS Making the Most of the Final Five Years Before Retirement A practical planning guide for first responders, credit union volunteers, employees, and their families Five years before retirement is an important checkpoint. It is the time to confirm what you have saved, understand the income you can expect, and decide whether your retirement plans match the life you want to lead.   1. Review Your Retirement Savings Start by taking a fresh look at your retirement accounts, personal savings, investments, and other assets. A retirement calculator can help estimate whether you are on track and show how additional saving during the next five years may strengthen your plan.   2. Identify Every Source of Retirement Income List the income you may receive in retirement, including pensions, Social Security, retirement-plan withdrawals, invest...

Senate, 51-47, has confirmed John Crews to the NCUA board

WASHINGTON—The U.S. Senate, 51-47, has confirmed John Crews to the NCUA board, clearing the way for him to succeed Kyle Hauptman and return the agency to a single-member board following the Trump Administration's removal of Democratic board members Todd Harper and Tanya Otsuka earlier this year. Maintaining the foundational stability of the credit union system Supporting efficient, risk-based regulation that accounts for institutional size and operational differences Preparing for technological advancement while safeguarding member assets Encouraging the growth of new credit unions to serve underbanked and military communities Preserving an open, accessible, and collaborative dialogue between the NCUA and the credit union movement Crews, who most recently served in the Treasury Department, has said his priorities include reducing regulatory burden for smaller credit unions, encouraging innovation and supporting the chartering of new credit unions, while maintaining the safety and s...

What’s Ahead for U.S. Economy? Here’s What One Former Fed Chair is Saying

 WASHINGTON–Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who headed the central bank during the 2008 financial crisis, is now warning that the United States is headed for a situation similar to that of the 1970s, when Americans were losing their jobs but still facing higher prices at the grocery store and at the pump. Ben Bernanke “Even under the benign scenario, we should have a slowing economy,” Bernanke told the New York Times in an interview in conjunction with his new book, “ 21st Century Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve From the Great Inflation to Covid-19 ,” which is scheduled to publish today. “So, there should be a period in the next year...

Fed Governors Signal Smaller Rate Increases Coming

WASHINGTON–There is a growing chorus among Federal Reserve governors that the central bank will be slowing it pace of rate increases when the Federal Open Markets Committee meets next on Feb. 1. Christopher Waller Among those who have signaled the days of 50 - and 75-basis point increases are over is Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who said he believes it’s time to slow the pace of increases—but not eliminate them. If the forecast proves true, it will mark the end of the rapid increases that took place during 2022 as the Fed sought to tamp down high inflation. Central bankers are now “entering a new phase that is focused more on how high-inter...

NCUA"s new video module provides best practices for merging

The three-part video module provided by NCUA, available online   here , examines current trends in mergers, when a credit union board should consider a merger and how to negotiate a merger agreement that best serves the credit union’s interests. Every credit union should discuss the possibilities of a future merger in their strategic planning.

Fed still holds off on rate increase | 2015-07-30 | CUNA News

  WASHINGTON (7/30/15)--Citing “moderate” economic expansion, the Federal Open Market Committee continues to do “a balancing act,” said CUNA Senior Economist Perc Pineda. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy-making body completed its meeting Wednesday without edging up the federal funds interest rate. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said the committee will opt for an interest-rate increase sometime this fall. The July meeting, however, was not the time. “The Federal Reserve continues to do a balancing act: the U.S. economy is not in a recession and definitely not overheating,” Pineda told News Now . “Changes in monetary policy after all are meant to influence an underperforming or an overheating economy.” Household spending growth has been moderate, and housing has shown additional improvement, the committee said. Labor conditions continue to improve with declining unemployment and solid job gains. Inflation is anticipated to remain near its recent low level in the near term,...

How should a credit union’s board of directors measure its own performance?

NASHVILLE–How should a credit union’s board of directors measure its own performance? And if it has the courage to do so, how can it ensure it’s doing it right? Questions around credit union governance are critical to any credit union’s success (or failure), and it’s one the Filene Research Institute has explored extensively. Some of the findings around research related to board governance and answers were shared with a large group of board members who turned out for a session during NAFCU’s annual conference here. “Governance is about confidence in the system,” said Tansley Stearns, Filene’s chief experience officer. “We must be leaders and remain open to new ideas.” Stearns readily acknowledged all of the challenges before any credit union board and board member, including time demands, economic uncertainty, board diversity, competency, members, training, and liability. Evolution of 'Owner Power' Those factors have contributed to an issue frequently cited by credi...

Credit Union Auto Loans Take a Slight Dip, Catalyst Strategist Says

Credit union vehicle loans outstanding have dropped 2.2% so far in 2012 but lending activity is still higher than it was a year ago..... Credit Union Auto Loans Take a Slight Dip, Catalyst Strategist Says :

Why Inflation Has Been Falling…

             Why Inflation Has Been Falling… January 13, 2023 1:32pm by Barry Ritholtz It may surprise you to learn that during this cycle of falling inflation, there seems to be little correlation with rising Fed Rates. This is very counter-intuitive but it makes sense when you consider what an aberrational and unusual cycle this has been. Despite zero rates for a decade plus, inflation was quite benign. It was only the combination of the global pandemic and lockdown, a massive fiscal stimulus, and a surge in demand for goods that launched the 2020-22 inflation spike. It is fair to ask: If low rates were not the driver of inflation, should we expect that higher rates will rein it in ? It’s natural to see a correlation between when the Fed began raising rates in March 2022, and inflation peaking soon after. But the relationship does not hold up well...