Skip to main content

Can Small CUs Survive the 4rth Industrial Revolution?

By Homer Fager

The Third Industrial Revolution period of the 1950s through 1990s witnessed the beginning of the decline of the small credit unions. In the 1960s the number of credit unions, including state and federal institutions, exceeded 20,000. The 1980s brought new technology to the industry from personal computers to the introduction of the first credit union-sponsored ATM. During the next three decades 10,000 credit unions were lost and in the last decade alone 2,000 have vanished.

Continuation of this rate of decline means the “small entity” credit unions may be lost within the next 15 to 20 years.

These Third Industrial Revolution banking structural changes were the beginning of the decline of the “small entity”credit union.

The Fourth Industrial Revolution, also referred to as 4IR or Industry 4.0, has changed the 21st century and will continue to change our society as did none of the other three revolutions. More has been accomplished in the last 250-plus years of human history than during the previous 2,500 years.

According to The World Economic Forum the first three periods included mechanical equipment, electricity/mass production, and electronics/automated production, respectively. The fourth revolution is assumed to have began after the 1990s but before 2013, the year Klaus Schwad first published his book, “The Fourth Industrial Revolution.”

Now, 5G (fifth generation technology of broadband cellular networks) and COVID-19 have advanced the application of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, with “cyber-physical systems” blurring the lines between the physical, digital, and biological worlds of influence. Per Klaus Schwab, “87% of young people in the U.S. say their smart phone never leaves their side and 44% use their camera function daily.”

He further noted how “now the world requires companies to respond in real time wherever they are or their customers or clients.”

The Millennial generation, also known as the “now gen” desires to conduct retail activities in real time, from their purchasing of goods to their retail banking P2P relations. The traditional banking industry faces serious threats from emerging digital modes to accessing banking services to being irrelevant at every stage of 4IR massive technology disruptions.

What Must Be Understood

Continue reading

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Sunday Reading - Year of the Fire Horse

        Year of the Fire Horse   Lunar New Year celebrations kick off  tomorrow, ushering in the Year of the Fire Horse in the Chinese zodiac. The 15-day festivities, observed by billions worldwide, start with the new moon and end with the Lantern Festival. China anticipates a record 9.5 billion trips during the 40-day travel rush around the holiday, the world’s largest annual human migration. The horse is the seventh animal in the 12-year zodiac cycle and symbolizes energy, independence, and ambition. Those born in horse years are seen as dynamic, courageous, and charismatic. Many see the Year of the Fire Horse as a time to tak...

The NCOFCU Podcast: Clear Insight. No Jargon.

Every week, we cover the latest trends and developments within the credit union industry. At NCOFCU, we are dedicated to providing you with insightful discussions that cut through the clutter. Our podcast features expert opinions, in-depth analyses, and an exploration of the challenges and opportunities that credit unions, directors, and staff face today. Join us as we navigate the evolving industry and empower associations with the knowledge they need to thrive. https://ceohp.podbean.com/ ================================================= Remember, you're not alone with  NCOFCU.org Join/Upgrade Check out some of NCOFCU's additional features: First Responder Credit Union Academy Financial Literacy Podcasts YouTube Mini's Blog Job Board

Letter to Credit Unions (24-CU-03) Consumer Harm Stemming from Certain Overdraft and Non-Sufficient Funds Fee Practice

      Letter to Credit Unions (24-CU-03) Consumer Harm Stemming from Certain Overdraft and Non-Sufficient Funds Fee Practices Dear Boards of Directors and Chief Executive Officers: If your credit union assesses overdraft or non-sufficient funds (NSF) fees that your members cannot reasonably anticipate or avoid, your credit union may be exposing itself to heightened reputational, consumer compliance,...

Eight Credit Unions Pay $42 Million in Special Dividends to 1.1 Million Members

  By  Jim DuPlessis   | January 05, 2026 at 04:00 PM So far this season, CU Times has tallied 19 credit unions, which have announced $160.3 million in special dividends for members.       Eight more credit unions have reported special dividends, paying their 1.1 million members $42.1 million in December and January. The bulk of the dividends came from Police and Fire Federal Credit Union of Philadelphia and Eastman Credit Union of Kingsport, Tenn., which each announced $16 million in rewards approved by their boards. The late January payout from Eastman ($9.7 billion, 356,492 members) will bring its total special dividends to $225 million since 1998. A news release from the credit union said “the Extraordinary Dividend is never guaranteed, but the strong financial performance of ECU in 2025 enabled the Board of Directors to approve this year’s $16 million payout.” Eastman’s $16 million payout represents about $47 per member and 19 basis points of its averag...

Sunday Reading - Budweiser 101

Draft Horses   Budweiser 101 Perhaps best known for its Super Bowl Clydesdale ads, Budweiser   is among the world’s most popular beer brands. It was among the first beers to achieve national distribution in the late 19th century, thanks to its revolutionary refrigeration and pasteurization techniques, setting the stage for the modern US beer industry.   Founded in the 1850s as the “Bavarian Brewery,” the company was acquired in 1860 by Eberhard Anheuser. He sold half of it to his son-in-law,  Adolphus Busch ,   in 1869, forming the partnership that would become Anheuser-Busch in St. Louis, Missouri.   In the 1870s, Carl Conrad , a St. Louis distributor, traveled through a Bohemian town called “Budweis” in German and drank a pale lager. Upon returning home, he worked with Anheuser-Busch to brew its own light lager, marketing it under the ...

Potential Changes to the Servicemembers Civil Relief Act

Written by Steve Van Beek NAFCU On the Tuesday after Memorial Day, I thought it was fitting to discuss some movement on Capitol Hill regarding proposed extensions to the Servicemembers Civil Relief Act (SCRA). As reported in the NAFCU Today , the House passed an Amendment offered by Elijah Cummings (D-MD) to the 2013 National Defense Authorization Act (which also passed the House in recent weeks).  The Amendment would provide additional protections to servicemembers.  The additional protections include: Extending post-service mortgage protection from nine months to 12 months; Extending certain SCRA protections to surviving spouses; Extending SCRA protections to all totally disabled veterans leaving the military; Requiring each financial institution - including credit unions - to designate a SCRA compliance officer; and Requiring institutions over $10 billion in assets to maintain a toll-free number for SCRA issues. A similar bill was introduced in the Senate. ...

Firefighters First Credit Union Sweeps Chili Challenge

SAN DIEGO, CA  August 7, 2017 Firefighters First Credit Union on Saturday dominated the fifth annual Xpress Data, Inc. 2017 Credit Union Chili Challenge, winning First Place and the People’s Choice award with  Second place being awarded to New Orleans Firemen’s FCU “Fire Watch smoked the competition at the Credit Union Chili Challenge,” said Firefighters First Senior Vice President of Marketing Kelly Ramsay. “Congratulations to our dedicated chili team: Tim and Noemi Watkins, Stacey Miller, Crystal Jauregui, Chantel Perez, Kimberly Tobias and Pedro Quintanilla. We are so proud, and that was some darn good chili!” The $1.2 billion credit union brought home two trophies from Del Mar Thoroughbred Club racetrack, $7,000 in prize money they will donate to the Fire Family Foundation and an entry to compete in the International Chili Society World Championships Oct. 20-22 in Reno, Nev. “Congratulations to Firefighters First Credit Union for their strong showing this...

Why First Responder Credit Unions Are Built to Adopt Blockchain Faster

  For years, blockchain in financial services lived mostly in the world of experimentation—proofs of concept, pilot programs, and innovation labs that rarely touched day-to-day operations. That era is ending. Today, blockchain adoption is moving from experimentation to scale. Across payments, capital markets, and banking infrastructure, financial institutions are beginning to operate on new rails—powered by tokenized money, programmable assets, and always-on settlement models. For credit unions serving first responders, this shift presents not just a technology opportunity, but a strategic one. Blockchain Is Becoming Core Infrastructure The most important change isn’t the technology itself—it’s how it’s being used. Blockchain is no longer about testing what might work. It’s increasingly being deployed as infrastructure to solve long-standing problems in financial services, including slow settlement, trapped liquidity, manual reconciliation, and limited operating hours. Cr...

Chairman Hauptman’s Remarks for FLEC Public Meeting (Trump Accounts)

  As Prepared for Delivery on February 6, 2026 Meeting Focus: Implementation and Outreach for Trump Accounts Good morning and thank you to our colleagues at the U.S. Department of the Treasury and members of the Financial Literacy and Education Commission for convening today’s important discussion. I also want to express my appreciation for this body’s leadership in encouraging savings and advancing the broader goal we all share—ensuring that every American has a meaningful opportunity to build financial capability, resilience, and long-term financial security. There’s a lot to like about Trump Accounts, including how easy it is to start the process when filing your taxes. These accounts were clearly designed with behavioral economics in mind. That is to say, things that are easier to do are more likely to get done. Trump accounts also turn all these kids into investors. The more Americans that identify as investors, the better off we are. Investing done by regular people turns Mar...