Skip to main content

More evidence that a March rate hike is appropriate.”

Darwit Kebede

WASHINGTON — The U.S. economy added 199,000 jobs in December, according to new data from the Labor Department. While that was the fewest jobs added in any month of 2021, one credit union economist sees signs a “strong recovery” continues.

The 199,000 new jobs came in well below what many economists had forecast, with most expecting it would be double that number.

Nevertheless, despite the weaker than anticipated numbers, 2021 will still go down as a year of record-breaking jobs growth, with the country adding 6.4 million jobs during the year, the most since records started in 1939.
 

The unemployment rate fell to 3.9% in December, marking a new pandemic-era low.

“The labor market added fewer jobs than expected in December,” said CUNA Senior Economist Dawit Kebede. “However, the unemployment rate continued to decline, falling below 4%, which indicates a strong recovery. Overall, the economy added on average 537,000 jobs per month in 2021.
“The employment data was collected before the Omicron variant blanketed the nation, turning entire areas into hot spots for community spread. Hence, the variant -- although less severe than Delta -- could temporarily derail progress in subsequent months.
“A 3.9% unemployment rate is good news for the Federal Reserve who is on track to end its stimulus by March in order to fight inflation,” Kebede added.

Added NAFCU Chief Economist and VP Curt Long, “The December jobs report was another mixed bag, as the establishment survey showed a disappointing gain of just 199,000 jobs, but the household survey showed another large decline in the unemployment rate. Even though the establishment survey failed to hit expectations for headline job growth, it still indicated a strong advance in hourly wages. Given the FOMC’s latest hawkish turn, the committee is likely to receive this report as more evidence that a March rate hike is appropriate.” 

CUToday

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The Case for Sharing a CEO Between Credit Unions

  Embracing Collaboration: The Case for Sharing a CEO Between Credit Unions In recent years, credit unions have faced numerous challenges, from regulatory pressures to evolving member expectations. As many seasoned leaders retire, smaller credit unions often find themselves at a turning point. In this landscape, one innovative solution is gaining traction: sharing a CEO between two credit unions. This approach not only addresses financial constraints but also fosters collaboration and enhances service delivery. The Rationale Behind Sharing a CEO 1. Financial Sustainability One of the most pressing concerns for small credit unions is maintaining financial health amid rising operational costs. A shared CEO model alleviates the financial burden of hiring and compensating a full-time executive. By splitting salary and benefits, both credit unions can allocate resources more effectively, allowing for investment in member services, technology, and community initiatives. ...

Reading Up On Recessions

  Reading Up On Recessions       Background Stemming from the Latin word “recessus” (meaning “a retreat”), recessions are  sustained periods  of declining activity in a country’s economy. During a recession, unemployment rises while economic output falls across a large swath of industries. Recessions are inevitable in modern economies, with one occurring about every six to seven years ( What causes recessions ?).   One common definition of a recession is when a country logs two consecutive quarters of shrinking gross domestic product, but in practice, ...

Sunday Reading - Landmine Rat Honored

  Landmine Rat Honored   Cambodia unveiled the world’s first statue honoring a landmine-detecting rat (w/photo) Friday. Magawa the rat lived to 8 years old and identified more than 100 landmines and other explosives from 2016 to 2021.  There are more than 100 African pouched rats deployed in landmine detection operations across the world. To identify mines, the rats are trained to sniff out explosive compounds like trinitrotoluene, or TNT. (The rats are not heavy enough to trigger detonation.) In Cambodia, up to 6 million landmines remain undiscovered, most planted during three decades of conflict, from the Vietnam War era through Cambodia's civil war . Since 1979, roughly 20,000 people have been killed in Cambodia, and roughly 40,000 wounded as a result of the mines. Magawa cleared more than ...

Sunday Reading - The gold standard, explained

  Gold Standard       The gold standard, explained A gold standard is a system where a country’s currency is pegged to, and can be converted into, a fixed amount of gold. It’s typically meant to create a sense of security in the country’s currency: When a government uses a gold standard , its currency can be exchanged for an equivalent amount of gold—although regulations around redemption vary by country.   After the Civil War, in 1873, America adopted the gold standard for the first time. At the time, if gold was priced at $100 an ounce, each dollar  rep...

Open Banking Pushes Leading Credit Unions Ahead In Race For Member Loyalty

  https://youtu.be/pUIV8hwSDCE NEW YORK—Credit unions that embrace open banking aren’t just keeping pace with competitors—they’re pulling ahead, new data show. A new report finds that innovation in digital tools and personalized experiences is emerging as the decisive factor separating credit unions that win lasting member loyalty from those at risk of losing ground. “ The 2025 Credit Union Innovation Readiness Index: Closing Gaps, Winning Members ,” a June report produced in collaboration between  Velera  and PYMNTS Intelligence, underscores innovation as a defining factor for credit union success. iStock-Korakrich Suntornnites “Facing shifting expectations from both consumers and small to medium-sized businesses (SMBs) toward digital convenience and tailored experiences, credit unions must modernize not just to compete with traditional banks, but to remain relevant to their members. The report, based surveys of 500 credit union executives, 15,000 U.S. consumers, and nea...

Long-Stalled Credit Card Competition Act Moves Forward In Senate Clarity Act Markup

WASHINGTON—A long-stalled bipartisan push to boost competition in the credit card market moved closer to becoming law late Friday, as Sens. Roger Marshall (R-KS) and Dick Durbin (D-IL) advanced a new amendment attached to the Senate Agriculture Committee’s markup of the Digital Asset Market Structure and Investor Protection Act, commonly known as the Clarity Act. Dick Durbin The amendment, a core component of the long-debated Credit Card Competition Act, would prohibit major credit-card networks and large issuing banks from enforcing network exclusivity on credit cards. Supporters argue the measure would expand transaction-routing competition, weaken the dominance of the largest payment networks, and reduce swipe fees that merchants say inflate consumer prices. The renewed momentum reflects President Trump’s recent backing of efforts to rein in credit card costs, a shift that has altered the political trajectory of legislation that has struggled to advance in prior Congresses. With Tru...

USPS Defends Banking Pilot, While Opponents Call It Illegal

  By David Baumann - July 11, 2022 Program has faced opposition from the outset, including from credit union groups, and has struggled to gain real traction. The U.S. Postal Service (USPS) argued this week that the controversial pilot program it is operating i...

Meet Spokane Firefighter Credit Union (SFCU) New President/CEO - Troy Clute

Meet SFCU's New President/CEO - Troy Clute  Troy Clute serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Spokane Firefighters Credit Union, bringing 29 years of experience in banking and finance. His career includes extensive leadership roles across the industry, with a strong foundation in consumer lending and member-focused financial services. Troy is a graduate of the renowned CUES CEO Institute Program, having earned the Certified Chief Executive (CCE) designation—one of the highest leadership credentials in the credit union movement. His leadership is defined by strategic vision, operational excellence, and a deep commitment to serving Spokane’s firefighter community and their families. Beyond his professional role, Troy values family above all. He and his wife, Karri, have been married for 36 years and share two grown children, Kellen and Kennadie, as well as three grandchildren—Tyus, Izze, and Major—who keep life joyful and full of adventure. When he’s not leading the c...

The impact of recent bank failures could impact credit unions.

The failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank, combined with the FDIC’s decision to cover all depositors could have an impact on credit unions. With over 93% of their deposits uninsured, SVB appears to be the poster child for poor strategic planning. The bank got caught short when the Fed raised rates. For credit unions, the real story is the decision to cover ALL accounts regardless of the amount in the account. Where is the threat to credit unions? Credit unions had no role in the failures of SVB and Signature Bank. The threat lies in the Treasury and FDIC’s decision to guarantee the funds in every account…no matter how much was in that account. While the Treasury Secretary and FDIC Chairman Gruenberg may have felt the need to do so to restore confidence, this action just kicks the can down the road. And the road will have no end if NCUA feels the pressure to do the same thing if a similar situation hits the credit union movement. Should there be a conservatorship or...