WASHINGTON — A new forecast from the American Bankers Association’s Economic Advisory Committee (EAC), which is made up of the chief economists at major banks, sees the U.S. economy progressing along a soft-landing path. “Recession risks have diminished, inflation continues to moderate, and employment gains remain robust,” the EAC said in releasing its new forecast. “A gentle easing cycle by the Federal Reserve will start around mid-year, facilitating trend-like GDP growth.” The committee, composed of 16 chief economists from some of North America’s largest banks, sees real economic growth remaining healthy at around 1.7% for 2024 and 1.8% for 2025. Recession odds have diminished somewhat over the last six months, although policy and geopo...
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