Skip to main content

5 Takeaways From CALLAHAN & ASSOCIATES Trendwatch 1Q 2024 - Asset quality, liquidity, and revenue are all on the minds of credit union leaders. Here's what the data has to say about that and more.

 

5 Takeaways From Trendwatch 1Q 2024

Asset quality, liquidity, and revenue are all on the minds of credit union leaders. Here's what the data has to say about that and more.

Credit unions reported record revenue in the first quarter, but delinquency is still up and loan originations are down. Is the industry ready for the year ahead? First quarter data offers a window into what might happen in the year to come.

Takeaway 1: Delinquency Ticked Down

DELINQUENCY BY PRODUCT
FOR U.S. CREDIT UNIONS | DATA AS OF 03.31.24
© CALLAHAN & ASSOCIATES | CREDITUNIONS.COM

  • Delinquency remained elevated in the first quarter, although it fell slightly from its peak in the fourth quarter. Higher interest rates have made it more difficult for Americans to keep up with loan payments, particularly for credit cards. Americans are putting more purchases on credit and missing payments because of it, and credit unions are bracing for more charge-offs.
  • Notably, delinquency is concentrated in just a few categories. Delinquency in new auto and residential real estate, for example, has not jumped like in credit cards. 

 

Takeaway 2: Provision Expense Growth Slowed

QUARTERLY PROVISION FOR LOAN & LESS LOSSES
FOR U.S. CREDIT UNIONS | DATA AS OF 03.31.24
© CALLAHAN & ASSOCIATES | CREDITUNIONS.COM

  • Deteriorating asset quality pushed credit unions to stock up on provisions the past few quarters to guard against future losses. In the first quarter, however, credit unions added $3.2 billion in provisions — a drop from the $3.9 billion added in the fourth quarter of 2023 but still well above the $2.2 billion added in the first quarter of 2023.
  • The increase in PLL has dragged down ROA, which dropped from 0.81% in the first quarter of 2023 to 0.66% one year later.

 

Takeaway 3: Credit Unions Were Less Reliant On Borrowing

BORROWING TO ASSETS
FOR U.S. CREDIT UNIONS | DATA AS OF 03.31.24
© CALLAHAN & ASSOCIATES | CREDITUNIONS.COM

  • With a loan-to-share ratio of 82.7%, credit unions are feeling the liquidity pinch.
  • Borrowing as a percentage of assets increased throughout 2023 as the strategy became a viable alternative to share growth to raise liquidity. However, borrowing is getting more expensive. In the first quarter, the cost of borrowing reached 5.31%, and borrowing dipped slightly.
  • Instead, cash from maturing investments became a more alluring option to boost liquidity. In the first quarter, cash as a percentage of assets reached 9.32%.

 

Takeaway 4: Higher Interest Rates Suppressed Originations

YEAR-TO-DATE LOAN ORIGINATIONS
FOR U.S. CREDIT UNIONS | DATA AS OF 03.31.24
© CALLAHAN & ASSOCIATES | CREDITUNIONS.COM

  • The pinch of high interest rates forced credit union members to pull back on borrowing in the first quarter. With 30.1% fewer loans made than one year ago, credit unions originated only $113.6 billion — the lowest first quarter origination total in five years.
  • This marks the second straight year of sizeable declines; however, the slowdown in real estate mortgage originations ebbed slightly. It fell 9.0% year-over-year, a stark comparison to the 49.5% drop one year ago.

 

Takeaway 5: Revenue Continued To Climb

TOTAL REVENUE
FOR U.S. CREDIT UNIONS | DATA AS OF 03.31.24
© CALLAHAN & ASSOCIATES | CREDITUNIONS.COM

  • Despite the slowdown in loan originations, revenue at credit unions expanded 18.6% year-over-year in the first quarter. Cooperatives capitalized on higher loan yield, and income from loans jumped $22.7 billion. Investment income also climbed 30.2%, a sign that investment securities are repricing at higher rates. All of this means a better starting point for credit union earnings.
  • Revenue rose in the first quarter, but so did operating, interest, and provision expenses. Subsequently ROA fell despite the bump in revenue. Keep an eye out for the remainder of 2024 to see how credit unions take advantage of this revenue boost while weathering headwinds.

Comments

Post a Comment

Please no profanity or political comments.

Popular posts from this blog

NCOFCU Newsletter

The Bucket Coach is a financial advice book designed by Fire Services Credit Union, Tronto, Canada. and written exclusively for Fire Fighters It's a practical guide for household financial management, including investments, credit and mortgages, and retirement. Developed with contributions from Fire Fighters," NCOFCU Newsletter : " Kevin Connolly Chief Executive Officer    Fire Services Credit Union Phone: 416-440-1294 ext 301  Toll Free: 1-866-833-3285 E-mail:  kevin@firecreditunion.ca 1997 Avenue Rd Toronto, ON M5M 4A3 
Post a Comment
Read Complete Article HERE>»

CUNorthwest Todd A. Powell Award is SFCU CEO Gayle Furness.

Spokane Firefighters Credit Union Big Enough to Serve. Small Enough to Care. This year’s recipient of the CUNorthwest Todd A. Powell Award is SFCU CEO Gayle Furness. Like Todd, Gayle has been instrumental in the growth, as well as the safety and soundness, of the credit union. Congrats to Gayle for living up to the standard that Todd created for our organization and the greater credit union community. __ ________________________________ Check out NCOFCU's additional features: First Responder Credit Union Academy Podcasts YouTube Mini's Blog Job Board
Post a Comment
Read Complete Article HERE>»

The Shrinking Pool of Small Credit Unions: Why It Matters & What We Can Do About It. - Henry Meier, Esq.

  Henry Meier, Esq. Henry Meier is the former General Counsel of the New York Credit Union Association, where he authored the popular New York State of Mind blog. He now provides legal advice to credit unions on a broad range of legal, regulatory and legislative issues. He can be reached at (518) 223-5126 or via email at  henrymeieresq@outlook.com . For as long as I’ve been around the industry, I’ve heard concerns about the demise of the small credit union. But I’ve come to realize it’s a lot like the weather: Everyone talks about it, but no one does anything about it. This is unfortunate. We need credit unions of all shapes and sizes to survive, and if we don’t take action soon, it will be too late.  Fortunately, there are steps the industry can take to potentially decrease the rate at which small credit unions are disappearing by making it viable for credit unions to survive by getting larger credit unions interested in making the necessary investments to keep the sma...
Post a Comment
Read Complete Article HERE>»

What Are Your Plans -As Government Shutdown Continues, Credit Unions Expand Offers of Assistance

BILOXI, Miss.— With the federal government shutdown now entering its second week, an increasing number of credit unions across the country are offering relief and financial assistance. All indications are the shutdown is no closer to ending than it has been since it began on Oct. 1. While the House has passsed a continuing resolution (CR) to fund government operations in the short term, the Senate remains at an impasse, even as it has scheduled a vote for today. In addition to the earlier assistance reported by the CU Daily  here , the latest pledges to support members include: • In Biloxi, Miss., Keesler FCU said it is offering paycheck relief for all eligible federal employees affected by the shutdown and will advance the amount of direct deposit paychecks for eligible members during the shutdown for up to 90 days. There is no cost or fee to enroll in the program. • In Nebraska, Cobalt Credit Union is offering furloughed members loans of up to $5,000 with no fees or interest...
Post a Comment
Read Complete Article HERE>»

Sunday Reading - FIRE, 101 - “financial independence, retire early,”

  Retiring at 30     FIRE, 101 Most US workers aim to retire around age 65—but for many followers of the FIRE movement, which stands for “ financial independence, retire early ,” that’s not the case. FIRE followers, who range from low- to high-income workers, typically prioritize high savings rates, relatively frugal living, and aggressive investing strategies in an effort to work less and enjoy life more in the long-term ( see five distinct approaches ). While many proponents argue that the movement is more of a mindset about achieving financial freedom than any ...
Post a Comment
Read Complete Article HERE>»