Skip to main content

The Pros and Cons of Tariffs

Since there has been so much discussion on Tariffs, I felt a post would benefit our membership.
Grant Sheehan CEO NCOFCU

Tariffs

Background

A tariff—a word derived from the Arabic arafa, meaning “to make known”—is a tax imposed by a government on goods that are imported or exported. Historically, tariffs have served as a primary source of revenue and a means to protect domestic industries, as they make foreign products more expensive, encouraging consumers to purchase locally produced goods.

The tools have a checkered history, famously bolstering US textiles, German steel, Japanese cars, South Korean technology, and more, arguably contributing to major economic downturns like the Great Depression. Tariffs can be specific (a fixed fee per unit) or ad valorem (a percentage of the item's value).

Purpose

Economically, tariffs aim to protect domestic industries, generate government revenue, and influence trade policy.

By imposing taxes on imported goods—which raise the price of goods produced abroad—tariffs can shield local industries from foreign competition. In theory, this can allow early-stage domestic industries to grow and eventually compete globally.

Before the establishment of income taxes, tariffs were a primary source of income for governments. For example, tariffs accounted for a significant portion of US federal government revenue during the 19th century. Tariffs can also be used as leverage in trade negotiations, encouraging other nations to modify their trade practices.

Tariffs Throughout History

In ancient Rome and Greece, taxes were levied on imported goods, such as grain and textiles, to control trade.

Economic theory began to shift toward supporting free trade in the late 18th century, thanks to frameworks established by British economists Adam Smith and David Ricardo. Smith and Ricardo argued tariffs and protectionism stunted economic growth, suggesting countries should focus on producing and exporting goods they can produce more cheaply, while importing goods that other nations produce more efficiently.

The United States has utilized tariffs throughout its history to protect its domestic industries and promote industrialization (one of the first acts signed into law by Congress established tariffs).

During the Great Depression, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 was passed to revive domestic industry, raising taxes on roughly 25% of all imported goods. However, most historians and economists agree that the resulting trade war exacerbated the global economic crisis.

Tariffs in Modern Times

Following World War II, America facilitated the rebuilding of the global economy and prioritized removing barriers between nations to trade goods, a process called trade liberalization. This resulted in the establishment of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade in 1947.

The GATT and its successor, the World Trade Organization, established structured frameworks for trade negotiation and dispute resolution between countries. The creation of these institutions resulted in significant increases in global trade and declines in the use of tariffs and trade restrictions.

In recent years, tariffs have reemerged as a significant tool of international trade policy. During President Donald Trump’s first administration, the United States imposed substantial tariffs, most notably on imports from China. This resulted in retaliatory measures by China, escalating into a trade war between the two nations that also prompted urgency for industry diversification and increased protection of US intellectual property.

Debates and Controversies

The use of tariffs is a contentious issue. Many economists argue that tariffs distort the efficiency of markets, leading to higher prices for consumers. Studies have shown that tariffs can result in declines in domestic output and productivity, as well as higher unemployment and inequality.

Despite the economic criticisms, tariffs often hold political appeal as they are perceived to protect local jobs and industries and assert national goals. This can lead to bipartisan support for tariff measures, even when evidence suggests they may harm the broader economy.

To watch a video gallery on Tariffs Click Here

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Hauptman Tells Congress CU Health is Strong; Responds to Questions from Committee

WASHINGTON — National Credit Union Administration Chairman Kyle Hauptman told members of the House Financial Services Committee on Thursday that the nation’s credit union system remains financially strong, while warning that rising delinquencies and consumer financial stress continue to warrant close monitoring. Hauptman also responded to a handful of questions from members of Congress, as well. Hauptman appeared as part of the regular hearings on Oversight of Prudential Regulators. Also appearing as witnesses were Michelle Bowman, vice chair for supervision with the Federal Reserve; Travis Hill, FDIC chairman, and Jonathan Gould, the acting Comptroller of the Currency. Kyle Hauptman In his prepared statement, Hauptman said federally insured credit unions remain well-capitalized and continue to meet members’ borrowing needs despite economic headwinds. He said the NCUA is focused on maintaining safety and soundness, protecting the National Credit Union Share Insurance Fund and creating...

Reuters: Trump Regulators Launch Biggest Bank Oversight Overhaul Since 2008

Is NCUA next? WASHINGTON—Federal banking regulators under President Trump are undertaking what Reuters described as the most significant overhaul of bank supervision since the 2008 financial crisis, shifting examiner focus away from process and compliance issues and toward what agencies consider “material” financial risks. According to Reuters, the Federal Reserve, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. have directed examiners to concentrate on risks that pose direct threats to a bank’s safety and soundness, rather than on paperwork deficiencies, governance concerns or procedural issues that do not immediately affect financial stability. Reuters reported that regulators have also moved away from evaluating banks based on “reputational risk,” a supervisory concept long criticized by banks as overly subjective. The change follows complaints from President Trump and others that financial institutions have used reputational-risk considerations...

Sunday Reading - Changing the Map

  Changing the Map     Redistricting, explained Congressional redistricting is the process by which states redraw electoral district boundaries   that determine representation in the US House of Representatives. The Constitution, federal law, and court rulings require districts to have roughly equal populations, avoid discrimination against racial or language minorities, and, in most states, be geographically contiguous. For most of American history, redistricting has followed a predictable cycle, occurring every 10 years after the census.   Gerrymandering is the deliberate manipulation of district boundaries to advantage one political party. Common tactics  by both major American political parties include packing opposition voters i...

The Rebounding Relevance of Adjustable-Rate Mortgages = By Kevin Hearden & Steve Rick

  This traditional mortgage lending product could help CUs attract high-contributing members and boost much-needed interest income. By Kevin Hearden & Steve Rick | August 19, 2022 at 03:33 PM Today, nearly three-quarters (72%) of credit unions’ total revenues come from interest income. So, when interest earnings as a percent of assets dropped almost 30% in April of this year, more than one alarm bell sounded within the movement. Credit union leaders across the country are rightly concerned about the sustainability of mortgage lending within what is already a highly competitive environment. In fact, lending executives participating in a May 2022 MGIC survey ranked the expected difficulty of 2022 at an eight out of 10. And while shiny startup strategies for boosting interest income make the headlines, it may be the resurgence of a traditional mortgage lending product that makes the difference. Borrowers Give ARMs a Fresh Look We’re talking, of c...

Cheer Up and Change: "Wait and see is not a plan."

I posted this a year ago and thought I would bring it back to see if any of his predictions came true. Take a look and tell us what you think. Grant Sheehan CEO Cheer Up and Change: The Demographic Mandate At a conference I recently attended Monday morning started off with a great session by demographer and futurist Ken Gronbach, who laid out his predictions on where we’re going and what we can expect as demographics change. I was pleasantly surprised that the future isn’t sounding as bleak as the news might have you believe. Gronbach offered lots of predictions for where our society and our world is headed. His predictions were given with a purpose: To help associations build their vision and plan for the future. As Gronbach stressed,  "Wait and see is not a plan." I’ve decided to arrange this recap into a list of my takeaways rather than a narrative recap. I hope you get as much out of this information as I did! Things to Expect: Big Changes in Retail : Gronbach ...

Ransomware: 'It's A Growing Issue'

MADISON, Wis.—Ransomware attacks, already a quiet concern that has been growing among credit unions, are expected to dramatically increase this year—with one analyst saying there is “no silver bullet” to prevent the threat. Ransomware is a type of malicious software designed to block access to a computer system or PC until a sum of money is paid. In the case of a financial institution, crooks first use the malware to encrypt the contents of the FI’s data and then extract a ransom in exchange for decrypting the information and allowing the victim to regain access. It’s an issue, according to one regulator source who asked for anonymity that has been growing within credit unions, many of which have paid ransoms to regain access to their data and have chosen not to speaking publicly about the crime. “This has become a huge problem,” said Ken Otsuka, senior consultant in CUNA Mutual Group’s risk management department, adding that CUNA Mutual Group’s cyber liability coverage data d...

Proposed FOM changes would streamline ability to reach underserved

February 16, 2023 The NCUA Board proposed chartering and field-of-membership changes and issued its final cyber incident reporting rule at its Thursday meeting. The board also heard a quarterly update on the share insurance fund, which noted an increase in the fund's equity ratio to 1.30%." The proposal would amend the chartering and FOM rules through nine changes to enhance consumer access to financial services, especially in low- and moderate-income communities while reducing duplicative or unnecessary paperwork and administrative requirements. “Getting credit union services to more communities across the country is important to CUNA, state leagues and the credit unions we serve, and making that easier to achieve has a big impact on access,” said CUNA Deputy Chief Advocacy Officer Jason Stverak. “While we need to review the proposal in detail, we thank the NCUA board for working to streamline the ability of credit un...

AI Rapidly Reshaping How Consumers Discover, Compare & Choose Banking Products (But Trust Remains an Issue)

  Frank Diekmann May 26, 2026 SYDNEY — Artificial intelligence is rapidly reshaping how consumers discover, compare and select banking products, forcing financial institutions to rethink their digital marketing and customer acquisition strategies, according to a new report from Bain & Company .  The report, titled “How AI Rewrites the Rules of Brand Discoverability in Banking,” found that AI assistants such as ChatGPT, Claude and Google Gemini are increasingly acting as the first point of contact between consumers and banks, particularly in Australia, where consumers are using the technology to evaluate products, interpret fees and even prepare applications for loans and credit cards.  According to Bain & Company, the traditional banking sales funnel — once driven by branches, brokers, advertising and search engine rankings — is rapidly shifting toward AI-generated recommendations and responses. ‘Increasingly Influencing Choice’ “AI assistants increasingly influen...

Letter to Credit Unions Says NCUA Exam Modernization Now Underway

ALEXANDRIA, Va.—NCUA has sent a Letter to Credit Unions ( 21-CU-08 ) detailing the agency's transition to modernized systems. The agency said it will begin this transition in August. NCUA’s efforts will include the implementation of emerging and secure technology that supports the NCUA’s examination, data collection, field of membership, and reporting efforts. “These new applications will streamline processes and procedures and provide significant benefits to credit union users,” NCUA said. Key areas affected: NCUA Connect Admin Portal Consumer Access Process and Reporting Information System (CAPRIS) 1 Modern Examination & Risk Identification Tool (MERIT) Data Exchange Application (DEXA) Training Available To prepare credit unions for the transition to these new systems, NCUA said it will provide credit union user training through various avenues, including: A self-paced training curriculum covering MERIT functionality available through the NCUA’s Learning Management Service An...

‘Statistically Better Than Humans’: Revolut Says AI Is Transforming AML Monitoring

5/25/2026 08:36 am     WASHINGTON—Artificial intelligence is now outperforming humans in some key areas of financial crime compliance, according to American Banker, which reported comments from Revolut U.S. CEO Cetin Duransoy during Semafor’s Banking on the Future Forum in Washington. Duransoy said AI-driven transaction monitoring at the fintech performs “statistically significantly better than human reviews of the transactions,” allowing human investigators to focus on more complex cases. Duransoy said AI has evolved from a supplemental tool into “core infrastructure” at Revolut, helping the company manage regulatory requirements across 39 countries while also supporting know-your-customer and anti-money-laundering functions. He added that every employee at the company now uses AI in some capacity, including customer service systems powered by large language models that generate responses using actual account information. The executive also warned that financial institutions ...